‘Prediction has become a luxury’: As Iran war rages, ad market begins to sweat

'Prediction has become a luxury': As Iran war rages, ad market begins to sweat

That question ceased to be a hypothesis last week. US sends Iran 15-point ceasefire plan; Tehran called it “maximalist and unreasonable” and denied that talks were taking place. Oil rose above $106. The White House quietly started making the $200 model. Since then, Trump has threatened to destroy Iran’s oil infrastructure, Iran’s military has continued … Read more

Prediction markets, pardons raise questions about who is profiting from Trump’s presidency

Prediction markets, pardons raise questions about who is profiting from Trump's presidency

William Brangham: The Pentagon today strongly denied a report by The Financial Times that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s stockbroker wanted to make large investments in major defense companies in the days before the US and Israel began to strike Iran. That report raises serious concerns about many people in the Trump administration and those close … Read more

Prediction Markets Vs. Betting Games: The ultimate DC Lobby Showdown

Former White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney

Mick Mulvaney, former Chief of Staff of the White House during the first Trump Administration and a former Congressman from South Carolina, is now the Executive Director of Sports Not Investing (GINI), an independent organization that pushes back against the growth of prediction markets in what used to be a place for sports betting. Getty … Read more

The NFL is asking the prediction markets to stop active trading

The NFL is asking the prediction markets to stop active trading

David PurdumMar 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET Shut up He joined ESPN in 2014 Journalist covering the gambling industry since 2008 Many authors In letters sent on Sunday, the NFL asked predictive market makers such as Kalshi and Polymarket not to offer business on events that can be easily manipulated or pre-selected, including what announcers … Read more